I’m not entirely sure how I missed this, but I’ve just routinely checked the Wikipedia list of independence polls to see if there’s anything new, and it turns out there was one a couple of weeks ago – the first post-election independence poll.
Should Scotland be an independent country? (Savanta ComRes / Scotsman)
Yes 47% (+1)
No 53% (-1)
However, it appears that rounding may have disguised a slightly bigger reduction in the No lead, because before Don’t Knows are excluded the figures are Yes 43% (+1), No 47% (-3).
I wondered aloud after the election whether the feel-good factor from the SNP’s landslide win would produce a boost in the Yes vote, and whether that might put Yes into an outright lead. On the face of if, the answer to the first question is ‘yes’ and the answer to the second question is ‘no’. However, I’m just going to be slightly cautious until I see a poll from a firm other than ComRes, who have produced some very weird numbers in the last few months. They had to retrospectively change some of their headline results due to a calculation error, and of course they were also caught up in the notorious #Matchettgate fake poll scandal – although that was almost certainly Scotland on Sunday‘s fault, not theirs.
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A few housekeeping notes –
* I received an email about a week or ten days ago saying nine more people had donated to the Scot Goes Pop fundraiser and between them had contributed around £300. That didn’t make any sense, because I haven’t been promoting the fundraiser for a few weeks (I thought I’d better wait until the election was out of the way), and there’s no sign of the donations on the crowdfunder page. It was probably just a rogue email, but if anyone did donate at around that time, let me know so I can check for any discrepancies.
* I’ve finally found the setting on Soundcloud that makes the Scot Goes Pop podcasts “proper” downloadable podcasts. So if you’d like to download any of the nine episodes so far, you can now do so HERE. (Go to an individual podcast, and look for a drop-down menu with a ‘download’ option. It appears to only be there on the desktop version of the site, unless I’m still missing something.)
* For ages now, people who post Scot Goes Pop posts on Facebook have complained about bogus warnings of graphic or sensitive content. Someone suggested to me that it may be my profile photo that’s causing the problem, because the bots may be misinterpreting my raised finger as something else. So when I have a moment, I’ll try changing the photo to see if it makes any difference.
