I haven’t calculated the national popular vote on the list yet, but John Curtice stated that the SNP, Greens and Alba have 51% between them, so I’m sure that’s true. Given the importance the Tories have placed on the #PeachVote, I don’t see how they can dismiss that outcome.
In terms of seats, the BBC projection was almost but not quite right – the SNP won one seat more and the Greens took one seat fewer. That makes no difference to the outcome for the pro-indy parties combined, but crucially it means the SNP will be neither a majority nor minority government as long as an opposition MSP is selected as Presiding Officer. It’ll be a 64-64 split between government and opposition.
Final results:
SNP 64 (+1)
Conservatives 31 (-)
Labour 22 (-2)
Greens 8 (+2)
Liberal Democrats 4 (-1)
Pro-independence parties: 72 seats (56%)
Anti-independence parties: 57 seats (44%)
PRO-INDEPENDENCE MAJORITY OF 15 SEATS