BBC forecast:
SNP 63 (-)
Conservatives 31 (-)
Labour 22 (-2)
Greens 9 (+3)
Liberal Democrats 4 (-1)
Pro-independence parties: 72 seats (56%)
Anti-independence parties: 57 seats (44%)
Not only is the mandate stronger than the last time, it’s also more watertight because the language in the Green manifesto is much more explicit. The SNP have also of course surged to a record high for any party in the constituency ballot popular vote.
A troll in my notifications earlier said Alba voters had been “conned”. You could just as easily say “both votes SNP” voters have been conned, because it looks like SNP list votes will be wasted in 7 out of 8 regions. The SNP-Alba wasted votes debate ended in a no score draw.
— James Kelly (@JamesKelly) May 8, 2021