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The early results are in…

by qwertyfan
May 7, 2021
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That’s by far an all-time record turnout in Clydebank & Milngavie.

— James Kelly (@JamesKelly) May 7, 2021

That Donside result is worrying, and probably more significant than Orkney.

— James Kelly (@JamesKelly) May 7, 2021

I struggle to imagine the SNP holding Banffshire & Buchan Coast after that Donside result.

— James Kelly (@JamesKelly) May 7, 2021

At least my Gaelic is now just about good enough that I knew Labour had lost before I heard the English translation. #sp21

— James Kelly (@JamesKelly) May 7, 2021

A worryingly consistent pattern so far of the SNP being slightly down in every seat so far, apart from Orkney, which often deviates from national trends anyway. 45% nationwide would be perfectly OK, but probably wouldn’t quite produce an SNP overall majority. #sp21

— James Kelly (@JamesKelly) May 7, 2021

The thing about tactical voting is that it depends on there being votes there to squeeze. There’s obviously a sizeable Tory support to be squeezed in the Milngavie part of Clydebank & Milngavie, but that isn’t the case in a lot of seats where Labour start from second. #sp21

— James Kelly (@JamesKelly) May 7, 2021

Thank God for that. I was worried about John Swinney’s seat. His vote share is actually up – the first SNP increase in a mainland seat. #sp21

— James Kelly (@JamesKelly) May 7, 2021

Yay, 4% increase for SNP in Dundee City West. Looking a bit more hopeful now. #sp21

— James Kelly (@JamesKelly) May 7, 2021

The Great Escape: the SNP hold the most Leave-friendly seat in Scotland. #sp21

— James Kelly (@JamesKelly) May 7, 2021

If the BBC try to spin that as a bad result, they’re barking up the wrong tree. I was fully expecting the Tories to win Banffshire & Buchan Coast after the Donside result. #sp21

— James Kelly (@JamesKelly) May 7, 2021

For context, the Tories hold the Westminster seat of Banff & Buchan and it was the one place where there was a swing from SNP to Tory in 2019. However close the Tories got today, however big the swing was on paper, the fact they lost is what matters. #sp21

— James Kelly (@JamesKelly) May 7, 2021

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