“Do I contradict myself? Very well then I contradict myself. I am large, I contain multitudes.” – Walt Whitman
As I’ve pointed out many times in recent weeks, the headline numbers in independence polls are the ones with Don’t Knows excluded. On those, the new Survation poll shows Yes drawing level.
Should Scotland be an independent country? (Survation / Courier)
Yes 50% (+1)
No 50% (-1)
However, the unionist media have shown that, when it suits them (ie. to claim there is a No lead), they’ll dispense with those numbers and use the ones with Don’t Knows included. We might as well follow their example tonight, because in this poll there’s a slight Yes lead – Yes 45% (+2), No 44% (-1).
These numbers have to be seen in the context of Survation being a relatively No-friendly pollster in recent times. They showed figures like these (a two-point Yes lead) in the late autumn, at a time when other firms were reporting a huge pro-independence majority. It would be interesting to see what a ComRes or Ipsos-Mori poll shows right now.
