“SETTLED WILL” SENSATION on eve of special SNP conference: yet ANOTHER Find Out Now poll shows a majority of Scottish voters want independence

I can’t find the figures with Don’t Knows excluded, but a rough recalculation suggests Yes may just about make it to 52% when rounded to the nearest whole number.  Very disappointingly, it looks like Find Out Now have introduced weighting by recalled 2014 indyref vote in this poll – that’s a massive step backwards given the danger of false recall from a vote that took place almost a decade ago.  However, there’s some reassurance to be gained from the fact that Yes still have the lead even after that retrograde methodological change.

Another limitation of this poll is that 16 and 17 year olds are excluded from the sample, which may conceivably have led to a very slight understatement of the Yes vote.  

The news that the Scottish people have maintained their settled will in favour of independence (assuming Find Out Now are getting it broadly right) should heap further pressure on the Yousaf leadership to restore Nicola Sturgeon’s de facto referendum plan.  Certainly, for what it’s worth, I’d urge all attendees of this weekend’s SNP special conference to lend their full support to the excellent proposal Ash Regan will be putting forward.

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