I’m not sure if this information was published at the weekend and I just wasn’t aware of it because I don’t pay the Murdoch Levy, but anyway, it turns out that the new Panelbase poll also asked the independence question, and the results confirm what appeared to be the case from two polls a few weeks ago – that Yes support is riding higher than it has been for years.
Should Scotland be an independent country?
Yes 48% (+1)
No 52% (-1)
To put this in perspective, Panelbase have recently been one of the most No-friendly polling firms, and for eighteen months between the early summer of 2017 and the autumn of 2018, they consistently had Yes on either 43% or 44%. The last two Panelbase polls showed Yes had jumped to 47%, and now 48% is a three-year high. It’s very unlikely that such a sustained pattern is illusory – it does look like support for independence has increased significantly over recent months. YouGov, of course, have shown the same trend.
