Should Scotland be an independent country? (YouGov)
Yes 48% (+3)
No 52% (-3)
More details and analysis will follow later. The 48/52 split above is taken directly from the YouGov website – the percentage changes are estimated from the previous poll’s figures with Don’t Knows left in, because I can’t find the figures from that poll with Don’t Knows excluded. However, the increase in the Yes vote, and the corresponding decrease in the No vote, is AT LEAST three points. The only other possibility would be a swing of four points.